It Didn't Knock For Me

Gundulf, over at Betfair Football Trading mentioned the match last night between Dortmund and Stuttgart, and what an absolute corker of a game it was. Dortmund 2-0 up, then go behind 2-3, before going ahead in the final minute to lead 4-3. Game over? Nope, still time for yet one more goal to make it 4-4.

The title of Gundulf's post is "this one escaped me; but opportunity knocked for someone!"

Well, I was trading this match. Started on the Under 2.5 goals, moved up to 3.5 goals and finally onto the correct score market. At 2-0 to Dortmund, I took at look at the match odds and saw Dortmund were backable at 1.01 and layable at 1.02. There were still 25 minutes to go at that point, and I said to myself, "That's a lay at that price. One goal back and the whole game changes."

So, what did I do about it? Nothing. Don't really know why. I was busy managing my correct score positions, which considering the torrent of goals I'm absolutely delighted to have come away from with a small profit.

Still can't help thinking that popping a £1,000 on at that point (with only a £20 liability) was the right move, even if it hadn't come off. And yes, I suppose there is a degree of hindsight talking here. I just found it strange that I talked to myself about it and then did nothing about it.



Football: -£14.26 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  -£14.26 

 

Football Showing 1 - 5 of 5 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Dortmund v Stuttgart : Correct Score 30-Mar-12 19:30  30-Mar-12 21:17  15.26
Football / Dortmund v Stuttgart : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 30-Mar-12 19:30  30-Mar-12 21:06  7.81
Football / Dortmund v Stuttgart : Over/Under 2.5 goals 30-Mar-12 19:30  30-Mar-12 21:00  18.21
Football / Aachen v Dynamo Dresden : Correct Score 30-Mar-12 17:00  30-Mar-12 18:54  50.46
Football / Braunschweig v Paderborn : Correct Score 30-Mar-12 17:00  30-Mar-12 18:53  -106.00


Going out for the day soon. No trading today.