Anonymous6 October 2012 16:14
I guess the team that does most attacking gets most penalties, stats for time in opposition penalty area would make comparison with penalties won interesting.
This is not a bad suspicion and worth taking a look at. Although, anon2 does point out:
Anonymous6 October 2012 17:18
Interesting theory anon., but that does not explain how Chelsea, Arsenal and Spurs (the 3 highest scorers after United and City) were awarded so few? By the way soccerdude, I'm a different anon. so no one is talking to themselves!
As pointed out, if the time spent in the opposition danger area was anything to go by, then surely the other attacking teams would have a similar, albeit smaller, number of penalties. And what about Man City who won the title last year?
Anyway, the Opta stats don't have this figure of time spent in the opposition penalty area, but there other stats that we may use to help us. The table below shows passes made in the final third of the field (successful and unsuccessful). Presumably there is some correlation between these two figures and the amount of time spent in the penalty area also?
Liverpool are only 100 passes behind Manure and yet they received considerably less penalties. Arsenal also are not that far behind and yet they were only awarded three penalties to Manure's 11.
Okay, none of this is conclusive, but perhaps the suspicion that we've all had about United getting more penalties than other teams might just be true?
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Okay, just a brief trip into the light fantastic now, if you don't mind. My Correct Score Overview post has continually proven to be my most popular post and always heads up the list in the count of weekly/monthly hits, but yesterday it received a comment that we all really should sit-up and take notice of. Here it is:
Anonymous6 October 2012 03:26
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... Erm, well, yes. Quite. I'd like to respond to this thoughtful comment in the right way, but frankly I just don't know where to begin.
All I do know is that, whatever this guy is drinking, I'd like to buy some ;-)
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P/L from Monday 1st:
Football: £329.48 | Tote: | Total P&L: £329.48
Football Showing 1 - 20 of 29 markets
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Zaragoza v Getafe : Correct Score 06-Oct-12 17:00 06-Oct-12 18:54 33.28
Football / West Brom v QPR : Match Odds 06-Oct-12 15:00 06-Oct-12 16:53 7.72
Football / Swansea v Reading : Match Odds 06-Oct-12 15:00 06-Oct-12 16:53 5.89
Football / Wigan v Everton : Match Odds 06-Oct-12 15:00 06-Oct-12 16:53 0.00
Football / Chelsea v Norwich : Half Time 06-Oct-12 15:00 06-Oct-12 15:47 0.09
Football / Man City v Sunderland : Correct Score 06-Oct-12 12:45 06-Oct-12 14:38 19.60
Football / Man City v Sunderland : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 06-Oct-12 12:45 06-Oct-12 14:34 26.27
Football / Augsburg v W Bremen : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 05-Oct-12 19:30 05-Oct-12 21:20 8.41
Football / Augsburg v W Bremen : Correct Score 05-Oct-12 19:30 05-Oct-12 21:20 8.51
Football / Augsburg v W Bremen : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 05-Oct-12 19:30 05-Oct-12 21:00 15.27
Football / Valerenga v Stromsgodset : Match Odds 05-Oct-12 18:00 05-Oct-12 19:50 0.00
Football / St Pauli v Union Berlin : Correct Score 05-Oct-12 17:00 05-Oct-12 18:51 16.17
Football / St Pauli v Union Berlin : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 05-Oct-12 17:00 05-Oct-12 18:48 8.25
Football / St Pauli v Union Berlin : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 05-Oct-12 17:00 05-Oct-12 18:29 7.41
Football / Newcastle v Bordeaux : Correct Score 04-Oct-12 20:05 04-Oct-12 21:58 0.86
Football / Liverpool v Udinese : Correct Score 04-Oct-12 20:05 04-Oct-12 21:58 22.68
Football / Liverpool v Udinese : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 04-Oct-12 20:05 04-Oct-12 21:34 12.09
Football / Liverpool v Udinese : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 04-Oct-12 20:05 04-Oct-12 21:11 0.81
Football / Panathinaikos v Tottenham : Correct Score 04-Oct-12 18:00 04-Oct-12 20:03 4.62
Football / Panathinaikos v Tottenham : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 04-Oct-12 18:00 04-Oct-12 20:03 -16.04
Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages
Football Showing 21 - 29 of 29 markets
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Rosenborg v Leverkusen : Match Odds 04-Oct-12 18:00 04-Oct-12 19:52 19.38
Football / Arsenal v Olympiakos : Correct Score 03-Oct-12 19:45 03-Oct-12 21:46 8.45
Football / Man City v Dortmund : Match Odds 03-Oct-12 19:45 03-Oct-12 21:38 15.84
Football / Middlesbrough v Derby : Correct Score 03-Oct-12 19:45 03-Oct-12 21:38 2.12
Football / Wolves v C Palace : Match Odds 02-Oct-12 19:45 02-Oct-12 21:43 15.22
Football / CFR Cluj v Man Utd : Match Odds 02-Oct-12 19:45 02-Oct-12 21:35 43.08
Football / QPR v West Ham : Correct Score 01-Oct-12 20:00 01-Oct-12 22:00 26.77
Football / QPR v West Ham : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 01-Oct-12 20:00 01-Oct-12 22:00 0.33
Football / QPR v West Ham : Over/Under 2.5 Goals 01-Oct-12 20:00 01-Oct-12 21:20 16.40
Have to think that Anon(6)'s comment was posted on the wrong blog! It (sort of ) reads like a critique of a literary piece, and that is in no way a sleight on your prose, Eddie!
ReplyDeleteReminds me of a night in chat where some guy got the football chat mixed up with a young lady he was talking to on MSN... she was getting 'ffs shoot straight' or 'gonna LTD' whilst we were getting.....well, probably best not to print it in polite company :-)
Well, I hope you managed to pull that night, Dave!
ReplyDeleteYou may be right about the literary critique - but even then it doesn't make much sense. Largely just a random selection of words all jumbled together...
Bit like this blog, I suppose.
The comment looks like it's from a bot (or someone having too much spare time) posting comments on blogs. It's basically a computer spreading links to dodgy webpages, all over the internet :-)
ReplyDeleteI've a bit more betting-relevant question for you:
I presume that you apply strict bankroll management, but which rules do you have?
You have to love those bot comments. Strangely when screening them, you can immediately identify they are spam, but I find myself compelled to continue reading them as the most nonsensical sentences are constructed.
ReplyDeleteOn another point, We KNOW that Man Utd get more penalties don't we. They have their own existence and like "Fergie Time" are used as and when most desperately required.