Compiling Match Odds (Part I)

As mentioned previously, I was slightly reluctant to embark on this subject as it's such a well-trodden road. However, due to a few people saying they would be interested, here I go. Please feel free to attack and mock at will; I promise to not get offended.

Before I dive in, it should be borne in mind that there is nothing new here (I just ain't that clever), so effectively this posting, and the ones that follow, will simply be a review of common methods for deriving match odds that are already out there. Some of these are used to good effect, whilst others are, shall we say, less successful. Some that I will probably be covering are:

• Goal Supremacy
• Rate Form (more commonly known as Elo)
• Poisson (already largely covered in a previous post)
• Dyads and Triads
• Power Rating
• Game Form
• Score Ability

There may be others that I will cover, but that will depend on how bored I (and you) get with all this. Compiling match odds is undoubtedly a dry subject, so I've decided to break it down in to small(ish), easily-digestible, chunks. I’ll do one (or a few) at a time,depending how involved each one is:

Goal Supremacy
I'll start with goal supremacy because it is generally effective (and by that I mean it will immediately take you above random guessing), and it's very quick and easy to calculate. It does, however, also provide a graphic example of how easy it is, despite the relative simplicity of the algorithms themselves, to get caught-up in the finer detail of tweaking and weighting. And this is one of the reasons I've chosen to start with it.

I should also point out that when drawing-up this post, I have taken as my starting point material from the excellent "Fixed Odds Sports Betting" by Joe Buchdahl. If you don't have a copy of this book then I would strongly recommend it. Personally I found it one of the best books on betting and statistical analysis when I first started out, and it opened-up all sorts of new thinking when I first read it. So go out and grab yourself a copy.

Goal supremacy is achieved by simply totting-up the goals scored minus the goals conceded for each team over the course of the last six matches played. There have been quite a few tests run to determine the optimum number of matches to go back over, and it is now widely recognised that six matches is the most accurate guide to the eventual outcome of a match.

So let's take an example. We have the North London derby coming up between Arsenal and Spurs, so let's use that. Arsenal have scored 15 goals and conceded 9 goals over the last six matches. Spurs have scored 12 goals and conceded five goals over the last six matches. This equates to:

   Arsenal_diff    = 15 - 9 = +6
   Spurs_diff      = 12 - 5 = +7

Now we could go rushing off and try to derive match odds based simply on this, but due to what is termed "noise" in the overall figures, we could end-up with some anomalous results. To overcome this, a "best-fit" relationship is identified with the given match ratings. Happily, I don't need to bother you with all that, as this has already been done for us by some nice intelligent people and all we need to do is plug in a given  "noise-reduction" figure alongside our two "diff" figures. The value I’ll be using for home win is 0.0156. These figures are then used in conjuction with the average home win percentage and the average away win percentage values for the league in question.

Okay, so before we construct our algorithm, let's look at these average home/away win values for the Premier League. This year in the EPL, we have a surprisingly low home win percentage up to today:

   Home Wins   = 42.0%
   Draws       = 24.8%
   Away Wins   = 33.2%

Wow. as you can see, the home win percentage for the season is markedly low. At this point, you may feel like shrugging your shoulders, assuming that this figure will slowly rise up during the last part of the season (in which case that could be an opportunity in it's own right), or you may decide to stick with that for your calculation of Goal Supremacy match odds. Before you decide however, I'll just point out the averages for the previous three seasons:

   2010/2011:  Home Wins=47.1%, Draws=29.2%, Away Wins=23.7%
   2009/2010:  Home Wins=50.8%, Draws=25.3%, Away Wins=23.9%
   2008/2009:  Home Wins=45.5%, Draws=25.5%, Away Wins=28.9%

Hmm, what should we do here? Use the current season’s very low figure? Use last season? Or perhaps take an average over several seasons? This is where some of the tweaking and weighting can come in. Indeed if you start getting into these kind of algorithms in any serious way then, if you're like me, you'll end-up crawling up your own arsehole in the endless pursuit of the perfect values for each league. It's a never-ending source of inspiration and frustration, but I'll leave the full discovery of that particular joy up to you.

For now, it's recommended that you stick with an historical average of 46.47% for home wins and 29.48% for away wins. If you get further into this, you'll see that some leagues perform better than others using historical averages, in which case you may want to add-in extra "weighting" on a per-league basis... But as I say, I'll leave that delight up to you.

Okay, so I may have stretched your patience too thin already with this diversion into averages. I did promise that calculating goal supremacy was not difficult, and really it's not. Below, I’ll start throwing out some calculations, but the only figures you’ll need to provide are the ones in green. Home win odds are calculated like this:

   Home Win Odds = (home_noise_reduction_figure *
                   (Arsenal_diff - Spurs_diff)  +
                    historical_home_win_avg)

So let's plug in the actual values that we've worked-out so far:

   Home Win Odds = (0.0156 * (6 - 7) + 0.4647)

This gives us a percentage chance of Arsenal winning on Sunday equal to 44.91%. If we divide 1 by this (1 / 0.4491) we see that Goal Supremacy is estimating Arsenal's odds at 2.22.

Right, onto Spurs odds. This looks on the surface slightly more difficult as we have two noise reduction figures to throw in here. The first is 0.0003 and the second is 0.0127. Really you don’t need to concern yourself with them.

   Away Win Odds = ((noise_reduction_fig1 * (Arsenal_diff -
                    Spurs_diff)) ²) - (noise_reduction_fig2 *
                    (Arsenal_diff - Spurs_diff) +
                     historical_away_win_avg)

Yuk. This looks a bit daunting but probably because it's spread over several lines. Again, you really only need to worry about the goal diff values that we’ve already calculated and the league away win average. The rest is all boiler-platestuff. Plugging in the actual values for this, we get:

   Away Win Odds = (0.0003*(6 - 7)² - ((0.0127*(6 - 7)) + 0.2948)

If you were going to do this in Excel (recommended), then this would simply be:

   =(POWER((0.0003*(6 - 7)), 2)-SUM(0.0127*(6 - 7)) + 0.2948)

So the only items here you would need to replace would be the “6” and the “7”, which would be the goal_diff figures for the two teams you’re interested in, and the league average away win percentage. Not that hard, is it? Running this calculation, gives us an away win percentage chance of 30.75%, which is match odds of 3.25.

Alright, so we only have the draw calculation now, and this is the easiest of the lot. Because we have no overround to incorporate, we can provide a 100% book. Therefore the draw percentage chance is simply 1 minus the percentage chance of Arsenal winning and Spurs winning:

   Draw Odds = 1 – (0.4491 + 0.3075)

This means Goal Supremacy has calculated a 24.34% chance of a draw, which equates to 4.10 match odds. So, we now have:

   Arsenal  = 2.22
   Spurs    = 3.25
   Draw     = 4.10

Looking around the bookies, the best odds I have seen for this match are:

   Arsenal  = 2.30
   Spurs    = 3.25
   Draw     = 3.40

Taking the overround into consideration, this is not a million miles away from our Goal Supremacy calculation.

Okay, if you haven’t fallen off your chair with the stultifying boredom of it all, then you’ll be pleased to know that we’re all finished. As mentioned, part of the fun/nightmare of this technique comes when you start playing around with any additional weighting factors you may decide to add-in for a particular league, and also what league average figures you want to use.

I’ll finish here because this has taken a bit longer than I expected. I’ll pick this up again shortly with other ways to compile match odds.

___________________________________

Update: You can find the other posts on this subject here:

• Compiling Match Odds Part II - Triads and Dyads
• Compiling Match Odds Part III - Rateform
• Compiling Match Odds Part IV - Quick Match Odds

Men Can't Multi-Task

Okay, my post heading is a sweeping statement which you may feel outraged by... so I'll change it to something more pertinent: I can't multi-task. There. That's better.

The unsustainably hectic nature of my life has continued unabated this week. Consequently I haven't had a great deal of time for my beloved footy - and the little I have had has been successfully kiboshed by my inability to know my arse from my elbow.

I think it was on Wednesday that I suggested Sunderland could be decent value at 3.70, as their home form was excellent and Arsenal had an up-and-coming Champions League match against AC Milan on Wednesday. A pre-match trade may be in order, I boldly suggested.

Thinking back, at that point I should have backed the draw with the hope that it would come in during the week, but instead I threw £500 onto Sunderland and then left it that. My intention was to look for their odds to come in right up to the last half-an-hour before kick-off, and then trade-out regardless. I should point out here up front that I don't believe the odds really moved at all in my favour, but at this point this was okay.

I was out this morning, but managed to get back in about ten minutes after the Man Utd v Liverpool game had started. Consequently, I missed the now infamous "swerve" of the handshake by Suarez, but did catch it on sky sports later. To my mind, Suarez must be something of a tosser to want to continue with all this. Either he's a thick as cow shit or he's knowingly decided to perpetuate the sorry saga for his own strange reasons. Personally, I'd guess at the former. Anyway, I managed to get a decent amount out of the game before having to bolt out of the house again.

I came back in about 3:30pm, and felt a bit disappointed that I hadn't had time to set up my bot for any of today's matches - but then suddenly remembered my, ahem, pre-match trade on Sunderland. Aaaaah, great big hairy testicles!

I jumped onto the PC and saw that thankfully Arsenal hasn't scored in the meantime. I traded-out immediately because, even though I thought Sunderland were in with a shout, I don't make straight bets, and certainly not for £500. Well, this immediately wiped-out the profit I'd made on the Man Utd game, which was a right royal pisser and incontrovertible proof that I'm no good at multi-tasking. More than one thing on my mind then I turn into a basket case. For those of you who are computer-minded, my brain is like a processor register, with only one value able to be stored in it at any one time.

Also a little bit galling was the fact that Sunderland took the lead in the 70th minute. If I'd been late enough getting back in, then I would have had a five minute window before Arsenal equalised where I could have greened-up for approximately £400. Ho-hum.

Anyway, all was not lost. My beautiful Spurs were playing in the evening, and I decided to trade that. Of course Spurs started like an absolute runaway train, which was fantastic to see, but made things a little difficult to trade on. In a normal frame of mind, I would have just closed my lappy and watched the match as a fan, but for some reason, I had some misplaced confidence in myself and carried-on regardless.

I hate these moments, where I have a quick conversation with myself, and almost say out loud the words, "Hmm, I should stop trading this game. It's too lively". This is the sensible part of my brain, but I'm not quite sure why I didn't pay any attention. So off I went, 3.5 goals, 4.5 goals and... SPLAT! Nice hefty loss. I did manage to claw a small part of it back on the 5.5 goals, but seeing how well Spurs played, it was somewhat spoiled by my poor decision-making on the game.

In the final analysis, I realise that I've just had too much going on at present, and I should have just shrugged my shoulders, accepted that trading was not really on the menu and then left it there. Trying to squeeze in bits and pieces here-and-there just doesn't work for me.

And as we've seen, I'm certainly no multi-tasker.


Football: -£52.48 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  -£52.48 

 

Football Showing 1 - 10 of 10 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Tottenham v Newcastle : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 11-Feb-12 17:30  11-Feb-12 19:26  57.17
Football / Blackpool v Portsmouth : Over/Under 2.5 goals 11-Feb-12 17:20  11-Feb-12 19:12  1.95
Football / Tottenham v Newcastle : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 11-Feb-12 17:30  11-Feb-12 18:55  -135.84
Football / Tottenham v Newcastle : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 11-Feb-12 17:30  11-Feb-12 18:05  13.24
Football / Sunderland v Arsenal : Match Odds 11-Feb-12 15:00  11-Feb-12 16:55  -88.54
Football / Dortmund v Leverkusen : Correct Score 11-Feb-12 14:30  11-Feb-12 16:22  23.80
Football / Man Utd v Liverpool : Correct Score 11-Feb-12 12:45  11-Feb-12 14:39  45.54
Football / Man Utd v Liverpool : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 11-Feb-12 12:45  11-Feb-12 14:38  4.67
Football / Man Utd v Liverpool : Over/Under 2.5 goals 11-Feb-12 12:45  11-Feb-12 14:25  17.17
Football / Man Utd v Liverpool : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 11-Feb-12 12:45  11-Feb-12 13:53  8.36


Incidentally, someone has asked me about compiling match odds. This is perhaps a rather well-worn subject so I'm a little reluctant to embark upon it, but if there is enough interest, then I may do a post on this subject. This would include a variety of ways - some better than others - on how to generate match odds.

I'll await of bit of feedback before I decide either way.

It's Good To Lie

For reasons that will not interest you, I have my brother-in-law coming to stay with us for a while, and I absolutely know what's going to happen when he arrives. Yes folks, I'm here to tell you that, with complete confidence, I can predict the future.

So what does my crystal ball say? Well it tells me this:

My brother-in-law is a nice enough guy - quiet but likeable. I also happen to know that he has absolutely no interest in football whatsoever. I'm also pretty sure that he's never placed a bet in his life. And that's all perfectly fine of course. There's nothing wrong with either of those things. The problem, however, is that his lack of knowledge and interest in football and betting will in no way prevent him from bombarding me with dumb questions when he sees me sitting in front of a match, clicking away on my laptop.

"What are you doing?"
"Betting."
"Really? How much do you lose?"
"I generally make money.
"Really? How does it work?"
"Well, it's complicated." (it's not really)
"What's that blue column? And what's that pink column?"
"One is backing, the other is laying."
"So what is laying?"
"It's the opposite of backing." (unhelpful)
"Hmm, perhaps you could teach me or give me a few tips?"
"No. It's too difficult (lie) and I wouldn't want to drag you into it." (another lie)

So on an so forth. His rat-a-tat questioning will continue, only to be met with as monosyllabic, disingenuous answers as it's possible to give. But why should I be so laconic and unhelpful, I hear you ask? Well, I'm sure you've had many similar conversations with your friends or members of your family who have visited. And if you're like me, then you'll find yourself in the position of having to defend your activities. Either that or you may do what I tend to do on these occasions, and simply lie.

"I don't do it much."
"It's just a bit of fun."
"I don't make any money doing it."

Lie, lie and lie.

The truth is that they're not interested in how much I make. The only answer they want to hear is that I'm losing money. They have absolutely no desire to hear that I'm succeeding. Oh no, that is the horror of all horrors - and of course they won't believe it anyway.

So my defence mechanism is to try my best to curtail the conversation as quickly as possible. I don't want to be rude, but I also don't want to be given the third degree over my "dirty little secret" as they would probably describe it.

And when they scuttle back to their homes, they doubtless re-tell their tale to their friends. "Oh, by the way, did you know that he's addicted to gambling? Yes, that's right. I don't know how his wife copes with it all."

Actually she copes very well, thanks very much.

___________________________________________________________


Looks like my hope of Harry Rednapp's court case tarnishing his chances of becoming the next England manager (as detailed HERE) has been well and truly dashed. For some reason I didn't really expect him to be found innocent by the jury, but the timing of this favourable decision has been, erm, shall we say fortunate. On the very day he walks out of court with his name totally cleared, Capello resigns on a point of principal, leaving the way open for Rednapp to immediately take up the reigns.

As a Spurs fan this is all a bit of a bummer, but if he does take the job it will be interesting to see how he gets on. I hope he does a good job and we go a bit further in the European Championships this summer.

___________________________________________________________


Think I agree with Andrew Atherley's opinion (over at betting.betfair.com HERE) on the forthcoming Premier League match between Sunderland and Arsenal, in which he suggests Sunderland are over-priced. The recent form table has Sunderland riding high, and they are unbeaten at home in their last six at the Stadium of Light. My own stats also show the given odds for a Sunderland win are extremely generous.

Not mentioned in the article but also highly relevant is that Arsenal have a vital Champion's League match away to AC Milan next Wednesday, so there's a good chance of them resting players on Saturday in preparation for that.

Good opportunity for a pre-match trade?

There are lies, damned lies...

I was reading an article the other day on the BBC website HERE that discusses the old fallacy of there being more people alive today than all the people who have ever lived. Yes. Complete bullshit I'm afraid, so be a good boy and stop casually dropping this misnomer into conversations.

When reading this article I was reminded of another well-known "fact": that 95% of all gamblers lose money. On this point, sadly I cannot direct you to another BBC link exploding this one as a myth also, but perhaps it wouldn't be such a bad idea if we all took this little nuggest of information with the same pinch of salt.

• Statistics are like whores, play with them long enough and they'll do anything for you.
• Ten percent of all car thieves are left-handed. All polar bears are left-handed. If your car is stolen, there's a 10 percent chance it was nicked by a Polar bear
• Statistics means never having to say you're certain.
• Statistics is the art of never having to say you're wrong.
• 97.3% of all statistics are made up.
• A statistician is a person who draws a mathematically precise line from an unwarranted assumption to a foregone conclusion.
• A statistician can have his head in an oven and his feet in ice, and he will say that on the average he feels fine.

Alright you get the point. I'm not saying this "95% losers" notion is false and I'm not saying it's true - I've never seen any definitive proof either way. But what purpose does it serve knowing it? Does it help you as a gambler/trader? I personally know a lot more winners in the gambling world than I know losers. Of course this doesn't tell us anything either, but we shouldn't allow ourselves to be downtrodden by the weight of supposed facts. We shouldn't allow this often posited "truth" to become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

So how do you view yourself? Do you lump yourself in with this supposed 95%?

We all pursue this hobby or job because we love the idea of it. We love trying to get one over on the system; we love trying to compete in a tough and demanding arena; we love the notion that our view of a particular market was the correct one; we love the idea that we were right.

If you have a negative P&L or you have lost money continually over the last few years, well at this precise moment in time that doesn't really matter. Because in the very next moment there is a chance of stumbling upon a method of betting/trading that suits your character and can be adapted successfully to the market.

 

We are all losers at a particular snapshot in time, just as we are all winners. Overall you may be down or you may be up, but it's the strong pursuit of improvement and refinement that is key. The urge to find something that hasn't yet been attained is the important thing. And if you're doing that, then there's no way you can be considered a loser.

 

That's a 100% statistical fact.

 

Tired

I realise that I've been absent without leave recently, but it's been absolutely manic in my house and I've had to resort to grabbing some trading here and there whenever I could get a chance. As normal when I do fall back on this "get in quick" type of trading, my results have been decidedly mixed. This has led to a rather flat start to February after a nice solid January.

Okay, so despite being utterly exhausted, it's buckle down time from now. I'm still very busy, but I'll try my best to steady the ship and see what happens.

I was up at 4:00am this morning and I have to get up at 5:00am tomorrow to travel to my place of work, so this post will be decidedly short. No real apologies for that. I do, however, have some more "meaty" posts on the way, which I'm writing bits of whenever I get some time. I'm back in my hotel tomorrow evening and Wednesday, so I should have the time to be a little more diligent then.

So do please stay tuned and I'll try and reward your patience. My P&L is from Friday up to the stunningly disappointing Liverpool v Spurs game this evening. Not great reading, as you can see.

Football: -£18.58 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  -£18.58 

 

Football Showing 1 - 20 of 28 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Liverpool v Tottenham : Over/Under 2.5 goals 06-Feb-12 20:00  06-Feb-12 21:55  8.43
Football / Liverpool v Tottenham : Correct Score 06-Feb-12 20:00  06-Feb-12 21:55  26.95
Football / Liverpool v Tottenham : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 06-Feb-12 20:00  06-Feb-12 21:54  15.58
Football / Liverpool v Tottenham : Match Odds 06-Feb-12 20:00  06-Feb-12 21:53  4.96
Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 16:00  05-Feb-12 17:55  -56.69
Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 05-Feb-12 16:00  05-Feb-12 17:29  4.67
Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 05-Feb-12 16:00  05-Feb-12 17:18  2.14
Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Over/Under 2.5 goals 05-Feb-12 16:00  05-Feb-12 17:10  18.32
Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 05-Feb-12 16:00  05-Feb-12 17:06  1.85
Football / Juventus v Siena : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 14:00  05-Feb-12 15:55  22.83
Football / Newcastle v Aston Villa : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 05-Feb-12 13:30  05-Feb-12 15:30  6.41
Football / Newcastle v Aston Villa : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 13:30  05-Feb-12 15:26  -51.19
Football / Newcastle v Aston Villa : Over/Under 2.5 goals 05-Feb-12 13:30  05-Feb-12 15:04  25.07
Football / Newcastle v Aston Villa : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 05-Feb-12 13:30  05-Feb-12 14:23  1.51
Football / Genoa v Lazio : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 11:30  05-Feb-12 13:27  33.63
Football / Getafe v Real Madrid : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 19:00  04-Feb-12 20:55  4.25
Football / Birmingham v Southampton : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 17:20  04-Feb-12 19:30  14.90
Football / Birmingham v Southampton : Over/Under 2.5 goals 04-Feb-12 17:20  04-Feb-12 19:27  8.85
Football / Man City v Fulham : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 17:30  04-Feb-12 19:26  58.96
Football / Man City v Fulham : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 04-Feb-12 17:30  04-Feb-12 19:25  36.95

 Pages: 1  2   of 2 Pages 


Football Showing 21 - 28 of 28 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Man City v Fulham : Over/Under 2.5 goals 04-Feb-12 17:30  04-Feb-12 19:02  1.60
Football / H Berlin v Hannover : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:30  04-Feb-12 16:27  50.46
Football / Wolfsburg v Mgladbach : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:30  04-Feb-12 16:20  -132.51
Football / West Ham v Millwall : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 12:30  04-Feb-12 14:31  48.51
Football / West Ham v Millwall : Over/Under 2.5 goals 04-Feb-12 12:30  04-Feb-12 13:59  1.23
Football / Arsenal v Blackburn : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 04-Feb-12 13:00  04-Feb-12 13:42  -197.04
Football / Nurnberg v Dortmund : Over/Under 2.5 goals 03-Feb-12 19:30  03-Feb-12 21:26  15.08
Football / Nurnberg v Dortmund : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 03-Feb-12 19:30  03-Feb-12 21:12  5.71

 Pages: 1 2   of 2 Pages 

Never mind the quality...

Just one match traded tonight, Novara v Chievo in Serie A. What a pile of crap. I can't believe this is the standard of football from Italy's top flight. Take any match in the Premier league, even between teams you may feel are inferior, and there is absolutely no comparison in the quality.

Poor ball control, slip-shod defences, wayward shooting - you name it. The first half was dull as dishwater even if the second-half warmed up a little - especially with two goals in about a minute. This however just papers over the cracks of what was a poor quality game. And it shows the inferiority of Serie A. Remove the top half-a-dozen teams, Juventus, Milan and the like,  and you could just as well be looking at the Scottish third division.

Sound miserable, don't I? Hah, I should change my tone as it's not particularly how I'm feeling. The trading went okay. I felt a bit annoyed at one point because I just traded out of a back of Chievo when they scored their second goal - but I needn't have felt too aggrieved because, as just mentioned, the home side equalised immediately after. The first half was good for trading the Unders as very little happened.

Soccer: £51.41 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  £51.41 

 

Soccer Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Novara v Chievo : Match Odds 02-Feb-12 19:45  02-Feb-12 21:39  28.46
Soccer / Novara v Chievo : Over/Under 2.5 goals 02-Feb-12 19:45  02-Feb-12 21:25  10.21
Soccer / Novara v Chievo : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 02-Feb-12 19:45  02-Feb-12 21:25  12.74

Being Careful

Not too much to report this evening. Traded the Sunderland v Norwich match. I expected Sunderland to win but was surprised just how lacklustre Norwich were. There hearts didn't seem to be in it at all.

Anyway, I have taken my own advice tonight (see yesterday's post) and taken it extremely steady. No impulsive entries into the market, no opening a position without seeing an exit route. All calm and measured.

This really is how it should be all along - and when it is like this, it's often difficult to understand why it should be anything else. However, sometimes it's all too easy to get swept away by the action within a match, and it's possible for the trading activity to start to mimic the erratic and dramatic nature of a game. This of course is not the sensible way to trade.

So, as I say, a decent start to the new month. I realise it's an arbritrary measurement, but it's still nice to start the first day of the month with a win.

Football: £68.92 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  £68.92 

 

Football Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Football / Sunderland v Norwich : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 01-Feb-12 20:00  01-Feb-12 21:53  14.24
Football / Sunderland v Norwich : Correct Score 01-Feb-12 20:00  01-Feb-12 21:51  39.42
Football / Sunderland v Norwich : Over/Under 2.5 goals 01-Feb-12 20:00  01-Feb-12 21:12  15.26