Man Utd, Man City and Chelsea will all fail to win the title this year. Yup, you heard it here first. That's my shock prediction. Take a moment to let that earth-shattering news slowly sink in.
Of course, when I say they will fail to win the title, I should perhaps clarify that statement a little. I mean they will not win it in the first couple of months of the season.
Really sticking my neck out, huh?
With the Premier League fixtures out today, I realised that I hadn't yet taken a look at the EPL Winners market. Nothing like a little ante-post bet to whet the appetite, is there?
And it's a simple one for me. With all the changes going on with the top three teams, it's obvious the market doesn't have the first clue who's going to win the title this year. Look how close their prices are. Have you ever seen them like that before? The market has basically thrown its hands up in the air and shrugged, "I dunno!"
Anyway, as I said, it's simple for me. There are always a few changes of league position in the first couple of months of the season, so I've layed all three teams for a total potential profit of £500.
I will never realise that full £500 of course, but that hardly matters. As the positions change, to-ing and fro-ing during the first few months, I'll slowly hedge away my red and hopefully leave a nice little green book come the winter. Well, that's the theory anyway. My liability is only £75.
By the way, if you want to see how teams can change place through the course of a season, then remember to use my League Table Time Machine that I created for you all last year. This can show the rise and fall of each team after each match.
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I made a little bit of pocket-money on the U21 final between Italy and Spain last night. I was out during the match so I set a couple of mug bets up before I went out - but I have to confess that I read the game completely wrong.
Like everyone else, I thought Spain would win, but I figured it would be a much more cagey affair than it was. Six goals and seven yellow cards doesn't sound cagey, does it?
Anyway, I placed a lazy Lay The Draw on the match, with a small saver on 1-1. My reading was that it might end 2-0 or 2-1 to Spain.
Shows just how little I know about this game of association football.
I decided this was a great idea and made the same trades as you, although I got in at different prices.
ReplyDeleteJust this weekend I greened up on Man Utd at 12.
Now I have to decide what to do about City and Chelsea.
I could green up the City position for a £10 or so profit.
If I close off the Chelsea position it'd be a £10 or so loss.
Do you still have these positions open?
Ta